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I'm offering 100 to 1 payment to anyone winning the following bet. Please add your name to the list and the State you're betting on and the reason you think you're calling it right. You risk $100 casino dollars if you lose and you gain $10,000 casino dollars if you win. Please press Reply, not Quote, to make the thread readable. By all means make a discussion of it.

You win if you successfully predict that Senator Obama will win the Electoral Votes in your choice of

Alaska

Alabama

Arizona

Arkansas

Florida

Georgia

Idaho

Indiana

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

North Carolina

North Dakota

Oklahoma

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah

West Virginia

Wyoming

why is Illinois not on the list when voting for Obama?

Odie;1037447 wrote: why is Illinois not on the list when voting for Obama?


I think it's quite likely that Illinois will give its Electoral College votes to Senator Obama.

Because I think that's so likely, I'm prepared to offer odds of 100 to 1 against Senator McCain getting those votes, but that bet's on the other list.

but I am voting Obama wins, so which thread do I vote on then?

Odie;1037458 wrote: but I am voting Obama wins, so which thread do I vote on then?


This isn't a voting thread, it's a betting thread. I'm taking bets on which candidate will win which state.

spot;1037463 wrote: This isn't a voting thread, it's a betting thread. I'm taking bets on which candidate will win which state.


thats what I meant, but Obama to me, will win the state of Illonis.

Odie;1037465 wrote: thats what I meant, but Obama to me, will win the state of Illonis.


Then we both think the same thing. What should the bet between us be?

spot;1037467 wrote: Then we both think the same thing. What should the bet between us be?


how is 200.00?

agree or disagree, up to you to!

Odie;1037468 wrote: how is 200.00?

agree or disagree, up to you to!


But we both agree it's very likely that Senator Obama will win Illinois. He already has a history of winning it as a Senator.

I'm so confident that Senator Obama will win Illinois that I'm already offering to pay out 10,000 casino dollars if he loses there, to anyone who will pay me 100 casino dollars if I'm right and he wins Illinois.

I'll offer you a special bet if you like - I'll pay you 100,000 casino dollars if Senator Obama wins Texas, if you'll pay me 100 casino dollars if he loses Texas. That's odds of a thousand to one which is overconfidence in a bookmaker on something so uncertain as a landslide election.

spot;1037475 wrote: But we both agree it's very likely that Senator Obama will win Illinois. He already has a history of winning it as a Senator.

I'm so confident that Senator Obama will win Illinois that I'm already offering to pay out 10,000 casino dollars if he loses there, to anyone who will pay me 100 casino dollars if I'm right and he wins Illinois.

I'll offer you a special bet if you like - I'll pay you 100,000 casino dollars if Senator Obama wins Texas, if you'll pay me 100 casino dollars if he loses Texas. That's odds of a thousand to one which is overconfidence in a bookmaker on something so uncertain as a landslide election.


see I have no idea how he did in Texas, I was beting he would win in Illinois because that's his second home.

thing is to, if we are betting together for Obama in Illionis to win, ours is a win win situation right?

will have to study up some more:-5

off to bed, we shall continue tomorrow.

Odie;1037477 wrote: thing is to, if we are betting together for Obama in Illionis to win, ours is a win win situation right?Only if we have someone to bet against.

The intention of a bookmaker is to offer a bet to anyone who wants to take it, and to make the bet sufficiently attractive that other people will want to take it, and to hope he'll win more money from winning bets than he has to pay out.on losing bets.

The bets I'm offering are all in the opening post of my two betting threads. They're my shop window.

Every bet is in the form "I'll agree to pay you THIS MUCH if SOMETHING happens if you'll agree to pay me THAT MUCH if it doesn't". That tends to be the way all bookmakers in the world offer bets.

People come and browse the list of what's on offer much like they'd browse the contents of any shop. If they see a bet they think they can win they might agree to it.

If the bet's not listed, rather like if a shop doesn't have a particular item, it's not for sale. It's like going into a swimwear shop and asking for a size 6 blue-striped cotton twist bikini and being told they don't have one. You could ask them to make you one and agree a price but it's more common to buy from what they stock.

Your win-win bet seems to be that if Senator Obama wins in Illinois we both pay each other 200 casino dollars and that if he loses in Illinois neither of us pays anything. It's not really a bet with an end result.

Roll up, get your bargain bets at spot the bookmakers.

Is there nobody willing to risk 100 casino dollars to win 10,000 casino dollars?

On bets as good as these?

Does no brave soul here think Senator Obama can take Georgia? Or Florida? Or Mississippi? Not even at a hundred to one odds in your favour?

There's no trick, it's all above board, I'm not a stage magician. I feel as though I'm holding out banknotes and nobody will take them

Montana? Nebraska?

Or go for a long shot like Tennessee or Texas?

Roll up, get'em while they're hot. There are four million Muslims in the USA and you can bet your britches they're never voting for a Republican again. This might be the first ever election in which the Muslims and the Jews are voting for the same candidate.

Do you do lucky dips?:D

Chezzie;1039677 wrote: Do you do lucky dips?:DIm still waiting for the Spot Betting Empire to do the XFactor bets....I got me dosh all ready:(

Spot how many Betting Offices you got fgs....I just posted in the wrong one:rolleyes::o

I'll put $100 down on Junior Senator Barack Obama for Missouri.

That was my bet! :p

I'll give junior Senator Obama, Missouri, as well as Montana for $100 each.

Last of the big spenders, eh?

Montana was 21 points inside the Republican camp in 2004, that's a big swing you're aiming at.

spot;1045699 wrote: Last of the big spenders, eh?

Montana was 21 points inside the Republican camp in 2004, that's a big swing you're aiming at.


He has a better chance of taking North Dakota... consider it a donation. :p

You managed to find two of the closest run states, I'm impressed. Especially with Montana, that had been a 20 point spread for Bush last time. It'll take a day or three before they produce the final totals. There seems to be little point in any lawsuits as far as the Presidential counts go - I wonder how many there will be for Congress though.

Are we all agreed on the results now?

Missouri Democrat (or is that still counting?)

Montana Democrat